全球气候变化影响我国冬小麦生产之前瞻

作物学报 ›› 1994, Vol. 20 ›› Issue (02): 186-197.

全球气候变化影响我国冬小麦生产之前瞻

金之庆;方娟;葛道阔;郑喜莲;陈华

江苏省农科院农业现代化所，江苏南京，210014

收稿日期:1991-10-31 修回日期:1992-10-30 出版日期:1994-03-12 网络出版日期:1994-03-12
通讯作者: 金之庆

Prospect to the Impacts of Climate Change on Winter Wheat Production in China

Jin Zhi-qing; Fang Juan; Ge Dao-kuo; Zheng Xi-lian; Chen Hua

Institute of Agricultural Modernization, Jiangsu Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Nanjing, 210014

Received:1991-10-31 Revised:1992-10-30 Published:1994-03-12 Published online:1994-03-12
Contact: Jin Zhi-qing

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 将作物模型与大气环流模型（GCM）耦合，评价未来气候变化对我国冬小麦生育期、产量和灌溉需要量的影响，并采用一种农业经济模型，就研究区域未来冬小麦总产的变化进行估计；还根据若干农业所气候指标，分析当CO2倍增时研究区域冬小麦生长期干湿状况的改变，种植界线可能发生的地理位移，以及品种布局和种植制度的演进趋势等

关键词: 气候变化，冬小麦生产

Abstract: Using an approach linking the crop model to the General Circulation Models (GCM), the impacts of climate change with a doubling of CO2 on growth duration, yield and irrigation damand for winter wheat in China were evaluated. Also, the change in overall output of winter wheat in the studied regions w

Key words: Climate change, Winter wheat production

金之庆;方娟;葛道阔;郑喜莲;陈华. 全球气候变化影响我国冬小麦生产之前瞻[J]. 作物学报, 1994, 20(02): 186-197.

Jin Zhi-qing; Fang Juan; Ge Dao-kuo; Zheng Xi-lian; Chen Hua. Prospect to the Impacts of Climate Change on Winter Wheat Production in China[J]. Acta Agron Sin, 1994, 20(02): 186-197.

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