欢迎访问作物学报，今天是
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胡超贵，董鹏斌，王辰玥，李欠*
HU Chao-Gui,DONG Peng-Bin,WANG Chen-Yue,LI Qian*
摘要：
独活是一种传统中药材与经济作物，由于产地较为广泛，质量难以控制。本研究采用最大熵模型(MaxEnt)预测独活在中国当前和未来潜在适宜分布区域，揭示了气候变化如何驱动其空间分布格局的演变，同时结合高效液相色谱(HPLC)和ArcGIS空间分析技术探讨了影响独活香豆素积累的主要环境因子，并区划优质适宜种植范围。结果表明，影响独活当前种植适宜分布的关键环境因子包括年温度变化范围、最冷月最低气温、5月太阳辐射量、最冷季平均气温、最暖季节降水量。种植适宜区主要分布在四川中部(阿坝和甘孜)、甘肃南部(平凉)、陕西南部(秦岭)、湖北南部(宜昌)和云南南部等季风气候区。模型预测表明，未来的气候变化将使适宜分布的中心向北部和高纬度地区移动，导致适宜地区的减少。可能受降水的影响，香豆素含量从高适宜区向低适宜区逐渐减少，优质种植适宜区域主要集中于四川中部、甘肃南部、湖南、河南、湖北南部和安徽南部，与当前种植适宜分布基本一致，且未来面积也将逐渐减少。本研究对优化独活种植、提高质量控制水平、提高经济效益和促进产业发展提供了理论依据和技术支撑。
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