作物学报 ›› 2019, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (11): 1725-1734.doi: 10.3724/SP.J.1006.2019.91008
茹晓雅1,李广2,*(),陈国鹏2,张统帅2,闫丽娟3,*()
RU Xiao-Ya1,LI Guang2,*(),CHEN Guo-Peng2,ZHANG Tong-Shuai2,YAN Li-Juan3,*()
摘要:
水和氮是影响西北黄土高原雨养农业区粮食生产的主要因素, 但其增产效应受降水年型影响明显。本水氮调控试验利用APSIM模型在甘肃省定西市安定区1971—2018年气象数据, 分析了不同降水年型下水氮管理对小麦产量和生物量的变异系数、可持续性指数的影响, 明确了各年型产量与施氮量、降水量之间的关系。结果表明, 模型模拟的小麦产量和生物量的决定系数R 2均在0.90以上, 一致性指标D均在0.95以上, 归一化均方根误差(NRMSE)均在15%以下, 表明该模型在研究区具有较好的模型拟合度和适应性。通过二元二次回归方程探讨了其最优产量下的水氮优化组合, 在当年年降水总量的基础上, 干旱年小麦达潜在最优产量时(3492.6 kg hm -2), 降水需增加39.73%, 应施氮182.73 kg hm -2; 平水年小麦达潜在最优产量时(4514.5 kg hm -2), 降水需增加45.26%, 应施氮208.26 kg hm -2; 湿润年小麦达潜在最优产量时(4890.3 kg hm -2), 降水需增加46.31%, 应施氮211.15 kg hm -2。研究结果可为研究区不同降水年型下缓解小麦干旱和养分胁迫, 节约化肥资源和农业可持续性发展提供理论依据。
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