作物学报 ›› 2014, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (08): 1485-1492.doi: 10.3724/SP.J.1006.2014.01485
徐建文1,2,3,梅旭荣1,4,居辉1,3,李迎春1,3,刘勤1,4,*,杨建莹1,4
XU Jian-Wen1,2,3,MEI Xurong1,4,JU Hui1,3,LI Ying-Chun1,3,LIU Qin1,4,*,YANG Jian-Ying 1,4
摘要:
研究黄淮海地区不同灌溉水平下冬小麦产量的变化规律,对于识别干旱对冬小麦产量的影响和制定合理的节水灌溉措施具有指导意义。基于DSSAT作物模型,参考各生育阶段的水分亏缺量以及当地的灌溉习惯,制定模型输入的不同处理的灌溉量,模拟分析近30年黄淮海灌溉冬麦区4个典型站点冬小麦关键生育期不同灌溉水平下,产量及产量构成的相对变化规律,并且以典型处理为例,探讨2个关键生育阶段减产的累积概率。结果表明,拔节至抽穗期的水分胁迫对冬小麦的产量影响最大,产量相对变化主要由水分胁迫引起单位面积粒数的相对变化引起。在重度干旱条件下,拔节至抽穗期胁迫造成中等程度减产概率约为灌浆期胁迫的2倍(山东兖州点除外);在河北石家庄和天津点,轻度和重度减产主要由拔节至抽穗期胁迫引起,而在山东兖州和河南新乡点,拔节至抽穗期及灌浆期胁迫造成轻度减产概率差别不大,但灌浆期重度干旱导致一定概率的重度减产。因此,在黄淮海冬小麦灌区偏南部,不但要加强拔节至抽穗期的灌溉措施,还应该注重灌浆期的干旱风险。
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